Full Notification

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.



DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY MAINLY NORTH OF BOONEVILLE MISSISSIPPI TO MARIANNA ARKANSAS...WITH THE BEST CHANCE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40. A FEW STORMS MAY BE STRONG WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON.


DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

...A MAJOR SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IS EXPECTED SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS A WARM...MOIST...AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS ENGULFS THE REGION. IT IS STILL FAIRLY UNCERTAIN AS TO WHETHER STORMS WILL DEVELOP DURINg THIS TIME FRAME...BUT THOSE THAT DO HAVE A GOOD SHOT OF BECOMING SEVERE GIVEN THE STRONG WIND SHEAR PRESENT. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.



A LARGER SEVERE THREAT WILL UNFOLD LATE SATURDAY MORNING AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WHEN A SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IS EXPECTED. A RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN ARKANSAS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM WILL ENHANCE THE WIND SHEAR...SO THUNDERSTORMS COULD TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS...IN ADDITION TO FLASH FLOODING.



THE SEVERE THREAT WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH EARLY SATURDAY EVENING.

STRONG NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE.


SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... AND WILL BE NEEDED SATURDAY.