Full Notification

From: ROIC (Regional Operations Intelligence Center) [mailto:[email protected]]
Sent: Sunday, April 22, 2012 12:45 AM
To: ROIC (Regional Operations Intelligence Center)
Subject: Special Weather Statement: NWS Flood Watch Issued
 

The New Jersey Regional Operations Intelligence Center (NJ ROIC) reports the State Office of Emergency Management (NJ OEM) is monitoring a weather event in coordination with the National Weather Service (NWS).
 
Executive Summary: A Spring Nor’easter currently threatens the region. Heavy precipitation with a potential of two to four inches of rainfall is anticipated.  Rain begins Saturday evening, and should continue into Sunday night, and early Monday morning.
 
Impact: Given current dry conditions, two to four inches of rain may cause some local flooding issues, main stem rivers however, should remain below flood stage. If rainfall exceeds anticipated amounts, more widespread flooding may result.
 
NWS Product(s):
 
FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ315 PM EDT SAT APR 21 2012DEZ001-NJZ008>010-012-015-PAZ067>071-221000-/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.A.0001.120422T1200Z-120423T0800Z//00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/NEW CASTLE-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA315
 
PM EDT SAT APR 21 2012...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
 
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN DELAWARE...NEW JERSEY AND  SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN  NORTHERN DELAWARE...NEW CASTLE. IN NEW JERSEY...HUNTERDON...  MERCER...MIDDLESEX...MORRIS AND SOMERSET. IN SOUTHEAST  PENNSYLVANIA...BUCKS...CHESTER...DELAWARE...MONTGOMERY AND  PHILADELPHIA.*
 
FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT* HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO  SUNDAY EVENING. EVENT RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2.0 TO 3.5 INCHES ARE  EXPECTED...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN  NEW JERSEY. EVEN THOUGH WE HAVE DRY WEATHER LATELY...THIS MUCH RAIN  COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF QUICK RESPONDING STREAMS AND SMALL  RIVERS...SUCH AS THOSE IN NORTHERN DELAWARE AND SOUTHEAST  PENNSYLVANIA. IN ADDITION...URBAN FLOODING  IS POSSIBLE.* AT THIS TIME... MAIN STEM RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.  HOWEVER...IF MORE THAN 3.5 INCHES OF RAIN FALLS IN THE PASSAIC  BASIN...MAIN STEM RIVER FLOODING BECOMES POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.
 
&&FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY405 PM EDT SAT APR 21 2012...HEAVY RAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT WITH POSSIBLE AREAL AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING...CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-220915-/O.NEW.KOKX.FA.A.0001.120422T1600Z-120423T1600Z//00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-405 PM EDT SAT APR 21 2012...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A* FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW  JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.* RAINFALL WITH A COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH TONIGHT SHOULD BE  LESS THAN A HALF INCH. THIS FRONT WILL THEN STALL JUST TO THE  SOUTH ON SUNDAY...AND SERVE AS THE FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAIN SUNDAY  AFTERNOON AS AN INTENSIFYING COASTAL STORM MOVES NORTHWARD AND  TRANSPORTS CONSIDERABLE ATLANTIC MOISTURE ALONG WITH IT.* RAINFALL WITH THE COASTAL STORM WILL BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING...AND  BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST RAIN  SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE FIRST HALF OF SUNDAY NIGHT IN THE NEW  YORK CITY METROPOLITAN AREA...WESTERN LONG ISLAND AND THE LOWER  HUDSON VALLEY...AND OVERNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT IN SOUTHERN  CONNECTICUT AND EASTERN LONG ISLAND...WITH HOURLY RAINFALL RATES  APPROACHING AN INCH PER HOUR IN THE HEAVIEST RAIN BANDS.* TOTAL RAINFALL OF TWO AND ONE HALF TO THREE AND ONE HALF  INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT  FLOODING OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...AND FLOODING OF FAST  RESPONDING SMALL STREAMS. HARD DRY GROUND DUE TO LACK OF RECENT  RAINFALL...AND STORM DRAINS THAT HAVE NOT YET BEEN CLEARED OF  WINTER DEBRIS...MAY ACTUALLY CONTRIBUTE TO ADDITIONAL RUNOFF IN  THESE AREAS. MAIN STEM RIVERS ARE UNLIKELY TO EXPERIENCE  FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.
 
The NJ ROIC and NJ OEM will continue to monitor this Weather Event and provide updates as issued by the NWS.
 
Distributed to: WEG
 
RC/PM